Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 649.18 | $0.847 | $568.03 | +$18.02 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 174.92 | $0.572 | $100 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 297.65 |
| $0.595 |
| $221.75 |
| +$44.7 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat? | Yes | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat? | Yes | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
| buy |
| 5.88 |
| $0.170 |
| $1 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.05K | $0.001 | $1.05 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETDown | buy | 78.67 | $0.127 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No | buy | 227.2 | $0.880 | $200 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETUp | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETUp | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.105 | $110 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETDown | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETDown | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETDown | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETUp | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETUp | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETUp | buy | 13.38 | $0.747 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETUp | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETDown | buy | 27.54 | $0.363 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | buy | 801.92 | $0.012 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETUp | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETUp | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 5.1 | $0.981 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETDown | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 705.87 | $0.610 | $430.4 | Jun 19, 2026 |