Latest trade
Oct 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 3:39 PM UTC.
Analytics
Naive-Conviction has made $465.57 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-11 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 3:39 PM UTC.
$16 median trade
Its latest 126 trades covered 120 markets; 96.8% were buys. They run from Apr 21, 2026 UTC to Oct 13, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Angela Merkel be the next President of Germany? | No | 85 | $0.910 | $83 | +$5.65 |
 FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Angela Merkel be the next President of Germany?No | buy | 85 | $0.910 | $77.35 | 7d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-11 02:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 15:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
126 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 15:39 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-11 02:30 UTC
Last checked just now.
100% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $45.25 on “Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 13 Oct 2026. It has traded 242 markets. Its open positions are worth $94.63 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Under |
| 25 |
| $0.550 |
| $11.63 |
| -$2.12 |
| buy |
| 25 |
| $0.550 |
| $13.75 |
| 13d ago |
| New York Red Bulls vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.540 | $13.5 | 13d ago |
| Atlanta United FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 13d ago |
| Inter Miami CF vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.660 | $16.5 | 13d ago |
| Toronto FC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.610 | $15.25 | 13d ago |
| New York Red Bulls vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.550 | $13.75 | 28d ago |
| CF Montréal vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.550 | $13.75 | 28d ago |
 FC Schalke 04 vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.580 | $14.5 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 12 | $0.490 | $5.88 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 12 | $0.690 | $8.28 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.550 | $13.75 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Nashville SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Houston Dynamo vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Orlando City SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5 AND D.C. United SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5 | sell | 100.42 | $0.403 | $40.42 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5) AND D.C. United SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5 | sell | 64.98 | $0.398 | $25.85 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
| Orlando City SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5 AND FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5 | sell | 91.03 | $0.354 | $32.26 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
| Orlando City SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5 AND D.C. United SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5 | buy | 100.42 | $0.240 | $24.08 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5) AND D.C. United SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5 | buy | 64.99 | $0.373 | $24.24 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Orlando City SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5 AND FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5 | buy | 91.03 | $0.265 | $24.11 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Real Salt Lake vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.260 | $13 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 36.07 | $0.340 | $12.26 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| D.C. United SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.690 | $17.25 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.550 | $13.75 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| New York City FC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 24.99 | $0.680 | $16.99 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Orlando City SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.520 | $13 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Atlanta United FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5) | buy | 47.2 | $0.517 | $24.41 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Atlanta United FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.630 | $15.75 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Atlanta United FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.420 | $10.5 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| D.C. United SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.460 | $11.5 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Sporting Kansas City vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.550 | $13.75 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Houston Dynamo vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.440 | $11 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.550 | $13.75 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.610 | $15.25 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| New York Red Bulls vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.520 | $13 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Orlando City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.530 | $13.25 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| CF Montréal vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.640 | $16 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.570 | $14.25 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-08-15?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.440 | $11 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.570 | $14.25 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Real Salt Lake vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 25 | $0.610 | $15.25 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy | buy | 25 | $0.700 | $17.5 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| CF Montréal vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.450 | $11.25 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 25 | $0.440 | $11 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.