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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.910 | $1.99K | +$165 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?Yes | buy | 77.64 | $0.980 | $76.09 | Jul 14, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 800 |
| $0.710 |
| $324 |
| -$244 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 400.01 | $0.625 | $219.8 | -$30.2 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 400 | $0.470 | $218 | +$30 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 167.78 | $0.881 | $164.85 | +$17.03 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 200.01 | $0.780 | $151.9 | -$4.1 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 200 | $0.680 | $141 | +$5 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | No | 200 | $0.680 | $135 | -$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.550 | $89 | -$21 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | No | 200 | $0.380 | $75 | -$1 |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 196.06 | $0.341 | $38.13 | -$28.72 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 791.62 | $0.050 | $35.23 | -$4.35 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 200 | $0.320 | $33 | -$31 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | No | 200 | $0.280 | $29 | -$27 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.300 | $25 | -$35 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.097 | $19.6 | +$0.2 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.724 | $16.5 | -$128.3 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.181 | $14.3 | -$21.9 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.030 | $8.66 | -$25.99 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.44 | $0.400 | $1.91 | +$0.53 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.989 |
| $98.9 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?Yes | buy | 26.18 | $0.988 | $25.87 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?No | buy | 192.78 | $0.998 | $192.34 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14?No | buy | 99.33 | $0.988 | $98.15 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14?Yes | sell | 52.07 | $0.040 | $2.08 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?No | buy | 24 | $0.989 | $23.74 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?No | buy | 29 | $0.980 | $28.42 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?No | buy | 15 | $0.988 | $14.82 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?No | buy | 55.61 | $0.979 | $54.45 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?No | buy | 48.54 | $0.930 | $45.14 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?No | buy | 54.28 | $0.930 | $50.48 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?No | buy | 98.17 | $0.850 | $83.43 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?No | buy | 12.53 | $0.700 | $8.77 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?No | buy | 22.37 | $0.690 | $15.44 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes | sell | 159.1 | $0.099 | $15.75 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 13?No | buy | 204.72 | $0.997 | $204.06 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 13?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.967 | $19.34 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 13?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.966 | $19.32 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.966 | $4.83 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 13?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.980 | $35.27 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 13?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 13?No | sell | 36.45 | $0.050 | $1.82 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 13?No | sell | 40 | $0.070 | $2.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 13?No | buy | 14.85 | $0.924 | $13.72 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 41.46 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 179 | $0.002 | $0.36 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?No | buy | 110.9 | $0.989 | $109.66 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?No | buy | 112.64 | $0.948 | $106.81 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?No | buy | 85 | $0.854 | $72.6 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?No | buy | 25.5 | $0.850 | $21.68 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?No | buy | 38 | $0.845 | $32.1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?No | buy | 63 | $0.850 | $53.55 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 13?Yes | buy | 41.42 | $0.276 | $11.45 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?No | buy | 81.55 | $0.887 | $72.34 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 67.14 | $0.210 | $14.1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 94.69 | $0.001 | $0.09 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 89.88 | $0.010 | $0.9 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 73.8 | $0.001 | $0.07 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 5.31 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 26.2 | $0.002 | $0.05 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on July 13?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.250 | $15 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 12?No | sell | 75.99 | $0.999 | $75.91 | Jul 12, 2026 |