Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 3.74K | $0.246 | $1.93K | +$1.01K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.510 | $30.09 | 15h ago |
|
| No |
| 293.03 |
| $0.807 |
| $265.19 |
| +$28.61 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 727.9 | $0.735 | $251.12 | -$284.2 |
| Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? | Yes | 301.6 | $0.638 | $224.69 | +$32.18 |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | No | 222.8 | $0.450 | $216 | +$115.74 |
| Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? | No | 345.92 | $0.240 | $145.29 | +$62.06 |
 Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | No | 217.74 | $0.454 | $135 | +$36.15 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.148 | $122.51 | -$50.11 |
| Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? | No | 120.48 | $0.628 | $92.16 | +$16.46 |
 Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026? | Yes | 157.67 | $0.349 | $85.93 | +$30.88 |
| Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 500 | $0.111 | $55 | -$0.56 |
| Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 500 | $0.111 | $52.5 | -$3.06 |
| Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.2 – 8.3? | No | 50 | $0.880 | $46.1 | +$2.1 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 124.54 | $0.294 | $45.46 | +$8.82 |
| Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 500 | $0.111 | $35 | -$20.56 |
| Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 500 | $0.111 | $32.5 | -$23.06 |
 Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 120.02 | $0.073 | $32.05 | +$23.31 |
| Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 500 | $0.111 | $25.25 | -$30.31 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | No | 409.88 | $0.067 | $22.95 | -$4.45 |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 500 | $0.111 | $22.5 | -$33.06 |
| Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 500 | $0.111 | $22.5 | -$33.06 |
 Will no one dissent the January Fed decision? | No | 25 | $0.700 | $20.25 | +$2.75 |
| Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 500 | $0.500 | $19 | -$231 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | Yes | 27.03 | $0.370 | $16.08 | +$6.08 |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.394 | $15.25 | -$24.11 |
| buy |
| 20.41 |
| $0.480 |
| $9.8 |
| 15h ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.480 | $2.5 | 15h ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 67.38 | $0.447 | $30.09 | 15h ago |
| Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.400 | $24 | 16h ago |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 83.48 | $0.460 | $38.4 | 1d ago |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 91.81 | $0.817 | $75.03 | 1d ago |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.460 | $1.45 | 1d ago |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 131.11 | $0.450 | $59 | 1d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.410 | $3.69 | 1d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | 1d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.380 | $17.48 | 1d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.350 | $437.5 | 1d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.340 | $5.44 | 1d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.340 | $10.2 | 1d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | 1d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | 1d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.320 | $2.56 | 1d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.310 | $3.41 | 1d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.300 | $6.9 | 1d ago |
| Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 274.63 | $0.001 | $0.27 | 2d ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 415.74 | $0.694 | $288.59 | 2d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.270 | $5.13 | 2d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.250 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 15.88 | $0.250 | $3.97 | 2d ago |
| Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.390 | $15.6 | 2d ago |
| Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 137.67 | $0.337 | $46.43 | 2d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 79.26 | $0.230 | $18.23 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.838 | $41.9 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | sell | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 25 | $0.170 | $4.25 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 48.48 | $0.786 | $38.1 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 88.44 | $0.780 | $68.98 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 112.69 | $0.770 | $86.77 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.798 | $39.9 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.790 | $38.71 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 40 | $0.790 | $31.6 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.780 | $28.08 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 40.48 | $0.850 | $34.41 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 14.92 | $0.810 | $12.09 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.690 | $34.5 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.670 | $33.5 | 3d ago |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 17.5 | $0.220 | $3.85 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 28.56 | $0.914 | $26.1 | 3d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | 3d ago |