Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | sell | 3.88 | $0.250 | $0.97 | Apr 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3.89 |
| $0.270 |
| $1.05 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 5.07 | $0.530 | $2.69 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.550 | $2.79 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 3.25 | $0.715 | $2.32 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.720 | $2.34 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | sell | 3.27 | $0.360 | $1.18 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.360 | $1.18 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?No | sell | 3.19 | $0.460 | $1.47 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.470 | $1.5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.36 | $0.590 | $1.98 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.37 | $0.650 | $2.19 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.11 | $0.340 | $1.06 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.360 | $1.12 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | sell | 4.37 | $0.380 | $1.66 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 4.38 | $0.290 | $1.27 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 3.74 | $0.600 | $2.24 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 3.74 | $0.610 | $2.28 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.14 | $0.670 | $1.43 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.690 | $1.48 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 4.85 | $0.644 | $3.12 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 4.85 | $0.676 | $3.28 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.51 | $0.280 | $0.98 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.52 | $0.290 | $1.02 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.670 | $1.37 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.720 | $1.8 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.680 | $1.39 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.730 | $1.83 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 4.32 | $0.320 | $1.38 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 4.32 | $0.340 | $1.47 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 4.07 | $0.260 | $1.06 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.270 | $1.1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.870 | $1.64 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 1.88 | $0.750 | $1.41 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.360 | $1.12 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 3.12 | $0.330 | $1.03 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?Yes | sell | 1.98 | $0.520 | $1.03 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?Yes | buy | 1.98 | $0.530 | $1.05 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?Yes | sell | 3.66 | $0.330 | $1.21 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?Yes | buy | 3.67 | $0.360 | $1.32 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Yes | sell | 5.81 | $0.680 | $3.95 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Yes | buy | 5.82 | $0.710 | $4.13 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?Yes | sell | 3.04 | $0.460 | $1.4 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 7.37 | $0.450 | $3.32 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.460 | $1.4 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.460 | $3.39 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?No | sell | 7.56 | $0.420 | $3.18 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?No | buy | 7.57 | $0.440 | $3.33 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No | sell | 8.04 | $0.460 | $3.7 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.480 | $3.86 | Mar 20, 2025 |