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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 101K | $0.001 | $101 | Apr 28, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 795.03 |
| $0.989 |
| $786.28 |
| Mar 25, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.001 | $35.51 | Jan 31, 2026 |
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.976 | $1.01K | Jan 30, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.003 | $1.8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 372 | $0.009 | $3.28 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 213 | $0.040 | $8.52 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.007 | $3.5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 427 | $0.038 | $16.26 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 894 | $0.010 | $8.63 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 573 | $0.054 | $30.95 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 442.88 | $0.080 | $35.43 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.032 | $67.04 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.913 | $18.26 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 168 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)Yes | buy | 830 | $0.395 | $327.68 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 2 straight weeks?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.949 | $42.72 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 2 straight weeks?Yes | buy | 275.6 | $0.924 | $254.66 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 2 straight weeks?Yes | buy | 510.71 | $0.899 | $459.07 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.038 | $37.97 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.038 | $19.24 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.230 | $57.5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.220 | $55 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | sell | 9 | $0.261 | $2.35 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.039 | $35.1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.031 | $3.1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Yes | sell | 243.45 | $0.220 | $53.56 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 2.76K | $0.070 | $193.48 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 7.64K | $0.025 | $191.87 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 9 | $0.400 | $3.6 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 941.48 | $0.012 | $11.3 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 94.32 | $0.092 | $8.72 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 3.2K | $0.013 | $41.6 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 59.36 | $0.040 | $2.37 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 627.36 | $0.110 | $69.01 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.440 | $35.64 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 27.73 | $0.430 | $11.92 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.116 | $6.17 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 63.7 | $0.118 | $7.52 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.115 | $3.45 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.114 | $3.42 | Dec 5, 2025 |
GPT ads by December 31?No | sell | 3.1K | $0.919 | $2.85K | Dec 5, 2025 |
GPT ads by December 31?No | buy | 3.78K | $0.833 | $3.14K | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.220 | $333.48 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.210 | $5.25 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 520.47 | $0.210 | $109.3 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 408.32 | $0.210 | $85.75 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.200 | $20 | Nov 29, 2025 |