Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | Yes | 92.25K | $0.032 | $1.06K | -$1.85K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | 19d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 38.34K |
| $0.006 |
| $287.54 |
| +$57.52 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 1K | $0.080 | $65 | -$15 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 222.01 | $0.050 | $11.54 | +$0.44 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 3.13 | $0.830 | $2.79 | +$0.19 |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | Yes | 3.15 | $0.390 | $1.91 | +$0.68 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.88 | $0.940 | $1.76 | -$0.01 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 2.08 | $0.530 | $1.52 | +$0.42 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 1.77 | $0.628 | $1.3 | +$0.19 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 1.72 | $0.640 | $1.27 | +$0.17 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.45 | $0.850 | $1.24 | +$0.01 |
 Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 52.06 | $0.044 | $0.65 | -$1.67 |
| buy |
| 3.15 |
| $0.390 |
| $1.23 |
| 20d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.640 | $1.1 | 20d ago |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.830 | $1.1 | 20d ago |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.830 | $1.5 | 20d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.080 | $80 | 20d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 23.78K | $0.028 | $665.79 | 20d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 7.31K | $0.040 | $292.55 | 20d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.24K | $0.032 | $198.76 | 22d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 3.26K | $0.020 | $65.22 | 22d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.021 | $4.2 | 22d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.026 | $1.3 | 22d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 7.73 | $0.038 | $0.29 | 22d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 179 | $0.038 | $6.8 | 22d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 4.42K | $0.031 | $136.59 | 23d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.033 | $98.97 | 23d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 50.23 | $0.060 | $3.01 | 23d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.008 | $24 | 23d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.57K | $0.032 | $178.36 | 23d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 699.03 | $0.031 | $21.67 | 23d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.940 | $1.77 | 23d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.530 | $1.1 | 23d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 241.65 | $0.030 | $7.25 | 23d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.008 | $16 | 24d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.008 | $80 | 24d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 15.81K | $0.025 | $395.18 | 25d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 11.11K | $0.002 | $22.22 | 25d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 4.43K | $0.033 | $146.32 | 25d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 3.73K | $0.032 | $119.49 | 25d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.65K | $0.020 | $53 | 25d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 446.41 | $0.021 | $9.37 | 25d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 8.61K | $0.003 | $25.83 | 25d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.21K | $0.009 | $28.89 | 25d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 24.54K | $0.015 | $368.14 | 26d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 11.84K | $0.050 | $596.87 | 28d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 569.67 | $0.033 | $18.58 | 29d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.041 | $0.62 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | sell | 292.73 | $0.042 | $12.29 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.042 | $46.37 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 1.59K | $0.041 | $65.28 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 5K | $0.041 | $205 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 5.42K | $0.039 | $211.54 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | sell | 2.8K | $0.037 | $103.75 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 2K | $0.049 | $98.99 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 5.21K | $0.035 | $182.35 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 253 | $0.006 | $1.52 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.78K | $0.006 | $10.66 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.36K | $0.006 | $14.13 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.006 | $1.33 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 199 | $0.006 | $1.19 | Aug 10, 2026 |