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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 262.33 | $0.840 | $247.9 | +$27.54 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 238.73 | $0.840 | $200.53 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.360 |
| $18 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: FebruaryNothing | buy | 28.17 | $0.900 | $25.35 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.951 | $95.09 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 23.6 | $0.840 | $19.82 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 21.04 | $0.942 | $19.82 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | buy | 200 | $0.730 | $146 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday?No | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 468.66 | $0.210 | $98.42 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes | sell | 76.91 | $0.190 | $14.61 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 22.2 | $0.560 | $12.43 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 92.06 | $0.900 | $82.85 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | sell | 188 | $0.920 | $172.96 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 92.07 | $0.610 | $56.16 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 188 | $0.560 | $105.28 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 81.33 | $0.954 | $77.59 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 47.38 | $0.520 | $24.64 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?No | sell | 24.09 | $0.762 | $18.36 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?No | sell | 7.53 | $0.770 | $5.8 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Andrew Tate vs. Chase DemoorTate | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will anyone be charged for insider trading Trump tariff announcements?No | sell | 66.04 | $0.997 | $65.84 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 47.38 | $0.480 | $22.74 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 189.5 | $0.860 | $162.97 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Weed rescheduled in 2025?No | sell | 101.13 | $0.941 | $95.16 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 38.71 | $0.971 | $37.59 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.660 | $39.6 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 US strikes Nigeria by December 31?No | sell | 55.61 | $0.947 | $52.66 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 84.29 | $0.570 | $48.05 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| US strikes Nigeria by December 31?No | buy | 55.62 | $0.899 | $50 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Weed rescheduled in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.973 | $9.73 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | sell | 36.16 | $0.830 | $30.01 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.140 | $0.24 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 79.08 | $0.043 | $3.4 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?No | buy | 25.92 | $0.840 | $21.77 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | buy | 46.38 | $0.843 | $39.1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 20 | $0.942 | $18.84 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | sell | 35.97 | $0.995 | $35.79 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico by November 30?No | buy | 28.09 | $0.680 | $19.1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by November 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada by November 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in October?No | buy | 30 | $0.780 | $23.4 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?No | buy | 21.06 | $0.600 | $12.64 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?No | sell | 55 | $0.963 | $52.96 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Weed rescheduled in 2025?No | buy | 46 | $0.780 | $35.88 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?No | sell | 26.13 | $0.900 | $23.52 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?No | sell | 13.87 | $0.910 | $12.62 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will anyone be charged for insider trading Trump tariff announcements?No | buy | 14.96 | $0.920 | $13.76 | Oct 12, 2025 |