Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | Jul 10, 2026 |
hrathtr is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,520,809 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$76.22 observed lifetime PnL, 33 resolved positions, a 39.4% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xa549166f196c1ad74f955ba39de1b5523dc7d47b
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.679 |
| $13.58 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 11?No | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Paper Rex win the EWC Valorant TournamentNo | buy | 8.6 | $0.840 | $7.22 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Paper Rex win the EWC Valorant TournamentYes | buy | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 10.86 | $0.640 | $6.95 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 50 | $0.350 | $17.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 50 | $0.734 | $36.7 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 49.99 | $0.680 | $33.99 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 50 | $0.826 | $41.3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 50 | $0.823 | $41.15 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Paper Rex win the EWC Valorant TournamentNo | buy | 47.4 | $0.770 | $36.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Paper Rex win the EWC Valorant TournamentYes | buy | 50 | $0.260 | $13 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 19.07 | $0.375 | $7.15 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?No | buy | 50 | $0.780 | $39 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?No | buy | 36 | $0.780 | $28.08 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.950 | $171 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 775 | $0.750 | $581.25 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 193.55 | $0.961 | $186 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 775 | $0.760 | $589 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.54 | $0.929 | $2.36 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.750 | $131.25 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 177 | $0.640 | $113.28 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 66 | $0.470 | $31.02 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 177 | $0.650 | $115.05 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?Down | buy | 83 | $0.039 | $3.24 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8AM ETUp | sell | 110 | $0.506 | $55.68 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 9.3 | $0.128 | $1.19 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 9.3 | $0.129 | $1.2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.