Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.074 | $5.58 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.180 |
| $18 |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 99.98 | $0.100 | $10 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.060 | $21.43 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.963 | $96.3 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 17.92 | $0.558 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 111.08 | $0.282 | $31.34 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.300 | $33.33 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.114 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.130 | $9.75 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | sell | 38.64 | $0.432 | $16.69 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 654.7 | $0.031 | $20 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | buy | 38.65 | $0.259 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 NATO Article 5 by March 31?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.080 | $25 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| NATO article 5 in 2025?Yes | buy | 402 | $0.012 | $4.82 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| NATO article 5 in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.012 | $6 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 111.09 | $0.090 | $10 | Dec 8, 2025 |