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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? | Yes | 0.78 | $0.890 | $0.74 | +$0.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.107 | $4.28 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| No |
| 0.97 |
| $0.590 |
| $0.58 |
| +$0.01 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.320 | $0.54 | +$0.23 |
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.130 |
| $5.2 |
| Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.730 | $29.2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 99.03 | $0.410 | $40.6 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.120 | $4.8 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.090 | $4.05 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.110 | $2.75 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on July 10, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.560 | $22.4 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.420 | $16.8 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the announcers say "Foul" 5+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.790 | $31.6 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?No | sell | 31 | $0.730 | $22.63 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?No | sell | 8.22 | $0.740 | $6.08 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.100 | $3.6 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?Yes | sell | 18.85 | $0.130 | $2.45 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.130 | $1.95 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.540 | $21.6 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will 0–1 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will 0–1 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will another player win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Troy Reh record the fastest shot at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?No | sell | 40 | $0.600 | $24 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?No | sell | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Troy Reh record the fastest shot at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.290 | $11.6 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.570 | $22.8 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 34.02 | $0.740 | $25.17 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Nito Abreu win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No | sell | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?No | sell | 40 | $0.520 | $20.8 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the announcers say "England" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?No | sell | 18 | $0.100 | $1.8 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.360 | $14.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the announcers say "Unbeaten" during the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup Match?No | sell | 12 | $0.310 | $3.72 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Unbeaten" during the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup Match?No | sell | 27.33 | $0.310 | $8.47 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will U.S. Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 27 | $0.060 | $1.62 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?No | sell | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will U.S. Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will U.S. Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.730 | $29.2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.730 | $29.2 | Jul 3, 2026 |