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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 308.7 | $0.907 | $288.63 | +$8.63 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.072 | $10 | 7h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 527.77 |
| $0.554 |
| $234.86 |
| -$57.64 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 235.14 | $0.723 | $201.04 | +$31.04 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 132.01 | $0.840 | $124.09 | +$13.2 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 510.66 | $0.188 | $122.81 | +$26.8 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.59K | $0.122 | $116.42 | -$77.9 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 108.14 | $0.851 | $94.62 | +$2.62 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 108 | $0.350 | $54.27 | +$16.48 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 170 | $0.612 | $33.15 | -$70.95 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 300 | $0.039 | $10.65 | -$1.05 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 49.01 | $0.055 | $6.49 | +$3.77 |
| buy |
| 212.77 |
| $0.470 |
| $100 |
| 7h ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 300 | $0.961 | $288.3 | 7h ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 188.86 | $0.240 | $45.33 | 7h ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.132 | $6.73 | 7h ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 91.99 | $0.502 | $46.18 | 7h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | 8d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.230 | $17.94 | 23d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.133 | $13.3 | 23d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.473 | $18.92 | 23d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.087 | $17.4 | 23d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | 23d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | 23d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.750 | $67.5 | 25d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.117 | $30 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 29?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on July 29?Yes | buy | 25.5 | $0.039 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.856 | $85.6 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.927 | $92.7 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.079 | $7.9 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 20?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 20?No | buy | 10 | $0.841 | $8.41 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 20?No | buy | 10 | $0.839 | $8.39 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 20?No | buy | 5.78 | $0.827 | $4.78 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 20?No | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 20?No | buy | 20.98 | $0.815 | $17.09 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 20?No | buy | 7.63 | $0.869 | $6.63 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 14?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.196 | $1.96 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 14?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.092 | $1.1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 14?No | buy | 10 | $0.899 | $8.99 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.116 | $11.6 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.119 | $11.9 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.039 | $11.7 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 5?No | buy | 20 | $0.995 | $19.9 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 4?No | buy | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 4?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.988 | $19.75 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.064 | $6.4 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.203 | $20.3 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.123 | $12.3 | Jul 2, 2026 |