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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 117.65 | $0.850 | $108.82 | +$8.82 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 90.91 |
| $0.550 |
| $67.73 |
| +$17.73 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 555.56 | $0.108 | $41.67 | -$18.33 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 32.26 | $0.310 | $28.06 | +$18.06 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 60.55 | $0.826 | $22.71 | -$27.29 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10.81 | +$0.81 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | No | 20.83 | $0.480 | $3.85 | -$6.15 |
| buy |
| 28.47 |
| $0.702 |
| $20 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.640 | $15.61 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Yes | buy | 25.93 | $0.771 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 60.55 | $0.826 | $50 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.88 | $0.864 | $50 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 14.8 | $0.676 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 13.85 | $0.722 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.19 | $0.982 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.075 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
 DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1?No | sell | 7.46 | $0.999 | $7.45 | May 6, 2026 |
 Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 6?Up | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?Up | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
 Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?Yes | buy | 16.81 | $0.059 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 5?Up | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | May 5, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?Up | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | May 5, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 323.12 | $0.023 | $7.43 | May 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 602.8 | $0.999 | $602.2 | May 3, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 323.13 | $0.031 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.120 | $40 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 515.46 | $0.970 | $500 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 114.32 | $0.875 | $100 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-21?Yes | buy | 32.53 | $0.600 | $19.52 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?Yes | buy | 31.04 | $0.630 | $19.56 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 20.9 | $0.952 | $19.9 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 87.34 | $0.790 | $69 | Apr 14, 2026 |