Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 110.34 | $0.580 | $55.45 | -$8.55 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6PM ETUp | buy | 309.66 | $0.500 | $154.83 | 4d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 259.98 |
| $0.500 |
| $129.99 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 231.36 | $0.500 | $115.68 | May 14, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - March 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 254.7 | $0.500 | $127.35 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 238.45 | $0.500 | $119.22 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No | buy | 58.97 | $0.952 | $56.14 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Yes | sell | 976.22 | $0.010 | $9.76 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No | buy | 908.62 | $0.986 | $895.94 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Yes | sell | 31.93 | $0.050 | $1.6 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 3AM ETDown | buy | 210.41 | $0.510 | $107.31 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 2AM ETDown | buy | 221.86 | $0.510 | $113.15 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 6AM ETUp | buy | 411.69 | $0.510 | $209.96 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 4AM ETUp | buy | 133.18 | $0.510 | $67.92 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETDown | buy | 126.8 | $0.510 | $64.67 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 110.34 | $0.580 | $64 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 234.17 | $0.270 | $63.23 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 234.17 | $0.290 | $67.91 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETDown | buy | 110.02 | $0.513 | $56.41 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.966 | $1.75 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 100.4 | $0.515 | $51.69 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 100.1 | $0.515 | $51.53 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ETUp | buy | 1.07K | $0.523 | $556.8 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Jim Walden win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 12.4 | $0.995 | $12.34 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will Jim Walden win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 12.4 | $0.998 | $12.38 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?No | sell | 12.52 | $0.989 | $12.38 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?No | buy | 12.53 | $0.994 | $12.45 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Han Duck-soo?Yes | buy | 2.55K | $0.001 | $2.55 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign 5-9 executive orders in March?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.004 | $3.88 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?Yes | sell | 19.04 | $0.992 | $18.88 | Jan 11, 2025 |
| Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?Yes | buy | 19.04 | $0.994 | $18.93 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 13.71 | $0.948 | $13 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 13.72 | $0.949 | $13.02 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.17K | $0.001 | $6.17 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.97K | $0.001 | $5.97 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.03K | $0.001 | $5.03 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will Trump lead by 1.5 or more points on August 9?No | sell | 232.97 | $0.993 | $231.38 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump lead by 1.5 or more points on August 9?No | buy | 232.98 | $0.998 | $232.51 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | sell | 229.98 | $0.983 | $226.08 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | buy | 229.99 | $0.987 | $227 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No | sell | 246.23 | $0.948 | $233.43 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No | buy | 246.24 | $0.952 | $234.36 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 211.38 | $0.980 | $207.15 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 211.38 | $0.984 | $208 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | sell | 248.11 | $0.948 | $235.21 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | buy | 248.11 | $0.953 | $236.45 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | sell | 207.79 | $0.968 | $201.14 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | buy | 207.79 | $0.970 | $201.56 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 230.28 | $0.987 | $227.29 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 230.28 | $0.989 | $227.75 | Aug 9, 2024 |