Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 516.36 | $0.136 | $91.14 | +$21.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?Yes | buy | 67.63 | $0.074 | $5 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 447.39 |
| $0.335 |
| $78.29 |
| -$71.71 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 195.34 | $0.358 | $45.91 | -$24.09 |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 367.64 | $0.136 | $42.28 | -$7.72 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 150.1 | $0.200 | $26.27 | -$3.73 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 964.99 | $0.026 | $25.57 | +$0.57 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 678.73 | $0.015 | $17.65 | +$7.65 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 477.78 | $0.021 | $14.57 | +$4.57 |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.88K | $0.008 | $12.24 | -$2.76 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 12.82 | $0.780 | $11.09 | +$1.09 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 48.67 | $0.514 | $10.95 | -$14.05 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 80.65 | $0.310 | $9.27 | -$15.73 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 147.06 | $0.170 | $8.09 | -$16.91 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 38.35 | $0.391 | $7.86 | -$7.14 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 116.28 | $0.043 | $7.38 | +$2.38 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | Yes | 203.56 | $0.246 | $5.5 | -$44.5 |
| Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31? | Yes | 67.63 | $0.074 | $5.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.360 | $3.4 | -$1.6 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 461.34 | $0.011 | $1.15 | -$3.85 |
 Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.015 | $0.5 | -$4.5 |
| buy |
| 367.64 |
| $0.136 |
| $50 |
| 2d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.520 | $37.14 | 12d ago |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 69.55 | $0.043 | $3 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.350 | $25 | 15d ago |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 25.65 | $0.150 | $3.85 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Waymo IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 169.87 | $0.031 | $5.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 221.87 | $0.070 | $15.53 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 84.74 | $0.408 | $34.57 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 102.2 | $0.245 | $25 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 229.91 | $0.100 | $22.99 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 267.24 | $0.580 | $155 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 84.75 | $0.118 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 77.52 | $0.129 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 72.99 | $0.137 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.185 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Yes | sell | 154.73 | $0.005 | $0.77 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 135.7 | $0.368 | $50 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes | sell | 416.66 | $0.040 | $16.67 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 48.67 | $0.514 | $25 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.88 | $0.650 | $22.67 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 93.42 | $0.522 | $48.78 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 203.56 | $0.246 | $50 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 263.52 | $0.379 | $100 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.168 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
 Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.005 | $0.83 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.019 | $2.71 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 105.55 | $0.066 | $6.97 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.84 | $0.361 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.08 | $0.290 | $15.1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 35.17 | $0.284 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.260 | $7.22 | May 20, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?Yes | sell | 458.33 | $0.016 | $7.54 | May 18, 2026 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026?Yes | sell | 59.02 | $0.480 | $28.33 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Yes | buy | 61.73 | $0.081 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.88 | $0.430 | $15 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.754 | $37.71 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.050 | $0.81 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Revolut IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 19.89 | $0.060 | $1.19 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |