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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.022 | $2.2 | 28d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 47.62 |
| $0.630 |
| $30 |
| May 12, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 86.95 | $0.278 | $24.17 | May 12, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.345 | $30 | May 11, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 82.1 | $0.609 | $50 | May 11, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 176.47 | $0.080 | $14.12 | May 11, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | sell | 117.64 | $0.120 | $14.12 | May 4, 2026 |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.780 | $30 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 48.38 | $0.060 | $2.9 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.060 | $1.93 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.200 | $9.09 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.170 | $15 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.170 | $15 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.38 | $0.220 | $10 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.87 | $0.022 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.210 | $9.54 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 48.39 | $0.620 | $30 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 209.52 | $0.310 | $64.95 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?Yes | buy | 116.9 | $0.299 | $35 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 770.1 | $0.125 | $96.51 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 97.94 | $0.191 | $18.71 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.261 | $47.05 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 568.08 | $0.164 | $93.31 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 56.24 | $0.875 | $49.22 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 84.58 | $0.281 | $23.77 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 85.71 | $0.493 | $42.24 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 183.9 | $0.491 | $90.35 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 770.11 | $0.130 | $100 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.560 | $50 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 253.72 | $0.309 | $78.52 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 163.16 | $0.086 | $13.98 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 655.96 | $0.093 | $61.13 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 137.29 | $0.109 | $15 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 56.24 | $0.889 | $50 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 233.04 | $0.429 | $100 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No | sell | 14.49 | $0.500 | $7.25 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.213 | $19.33 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 338 | $0.074 | $25 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No | sell | 66.66 | $0.742 | $49.49 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 214.68 | $0.070 | $15 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 129.15 | $0.077 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Apr 24, 2026 |