Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 57.69 | $0.026 | $1.5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 104.89 |
| $0.047 |
| $4.93 |
| Jan 16, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.29 | $0.997 | $2.28 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.55 | $0.991 | $2.53 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.997 | $2.1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.930 | $4.89 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 59.47 | $0.019 | $1.13 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 43.23 | $0.062 | $2.68 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.996 | $2.78 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 8.29 | $0.993 | $8.23 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 124 | $0.015 | $1.86 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.989 | $1.32 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?No | buy | 3.87 | $0.999 | $3.87 | May 27, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 23–30?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.994 | $1.95 | May 25, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?No | buy | 9.84 | $0.999 | $9.83 | May 21, 2025 |
Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.989 | $2.06 | May 12, 2025 |
Will another party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 10.3 | $0.999 | $10.29 | May 9, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No | sell | 2.96 | $0.998 | $2.95 | May 7, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.996 | $2.95 | May 5, 2025 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?No | sell | 11.04 | $0.320 | $3.53 | May 4, 2025 |
Will Victor Ponta win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 8.1 | $0.996 | $8.07 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 61.39 | $0.996 | $61.14 | May 1, 2025 |
Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 161.99 | $0.997 | $161.5 | May 1, 2025 |
Will the PPC win 5 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 13.43 | $0.996 | $13.38 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 161.99 | $0.998 | $161.67 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 61.39 | $0.998 | $61.27 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $89000 on Apr 25?Yes | buy | 3.74 | $0.993 | $3.71 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 102.31 | $0.999 | $102.21 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 151.8 | $0.999 | $151.65 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 35.2 | $0.999 | $35.16 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.888 | $7.24 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 67.79 | $0.999 | $67.72 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 67.12 | $0.999 | $67.05 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 119.44 | $0.998 | $119.2 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease?Yes | buy | 11.85 | $0.993 | $11.76 | Apr 15, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce no change?No | buy | 11.83 | $0.998 | $11.81 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 11–18?No | buy | 8.9 | $0.998 | $8.88 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 119.45 | $0.998 | $119.21 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 60.06 | $0.998 | $59.94 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 84.08 | $0.999 | $84 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 60.06 | $0.999 | $60 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?No | buy | 12.11 | $0.992 | $12.01 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 84.08 | $0.999 | $84 | Apr 11, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Apr 11?No | buy | 33.81 | $0.998 | $33.74 | Apr 11, 2025 |
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 124.77 | $0.998 | $124.52 | Apr 11, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 600 or more times April 4 - 11?No | buy | 16.35 | $0.999 | $16.33 | Apr 7, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times April 4 - 11?No | buy | 15.09 | $0.999 | $15.07 | Apr 7, 2025 |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?Yes | buy | 17.7 | $0.999 | $17.68 | Apr 6, 2025 |
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 124.77 | $0.999 | $124.65 | Apr 6, 2025 |
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 179.33 | $0.997 | $178.79 | Apr 6, 2025 |