Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 250.09 | $0.110 | $27.51 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 |
Miserly-Marker is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,778,772 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$211.88 observed lifetime PnL, 50 resolved positions, a 26.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x9d9f581e3bfba636ab36b60a23429ac5ca9dbbd2
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 1.76K |
| $0.002 |
| $3.52 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | sell | 27.11 | $0.130 | $3.52 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 27.11 | $0.180 | $4.88 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 4.88K | $0.001 | $4.88 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 4.88K | $0.006 | $29.25 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 17-23?No | buy | 120.3 | $0.099 | $11.93 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 17-23?No | buy | 47.27 | $0.099 | $4.68 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down on February 16?Up | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down on February 16?Up | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16?Up | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?Up | buy | 73.05 | $0.014 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp | buy | 12.06 | $0.820 | $9.89 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown | buy | 3.78 | $0.260 | $0.98 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETUp | buy | 2.15 | $0.450 | $0.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | buy | 5.18 | $0.760 | $3.93 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | buy | 7.28 | $0.670 | $4.88 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown | buy | 12.13 | $0.400 | $4.86 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | buy | 3.24 | $0.600 | $1.94 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp | buy | 5.59 | $0.890 | $4.98 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp | buy | 1.13 | $0.880 | $0.99 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown | buy | 13.69 | $0.871 | $11.92 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp | buy | 4.62 | $0.860 | $3.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp | buy | 2.65 | $0.740 | $1.96 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | buy | 3.15 | $0.310 | $0.98 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown | buy | 11.48 | $0.865 | $9.93 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 4.94 | $0.200 | $0.99 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown | buy | 7.09 | $0.140 | $0.99 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Democracy" this week? (February 22)Yes | buy | 16.59 | $0.422 | $7 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance say "Right Now" during the fundraiser?Yes | buy | 21.21 | $0.365 | $7.74 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?Yes | buy | 501.8 | $0.020 | $10 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?Yes | buy | 517.53 | $0.019 | $10 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in March 2026?Yes | sell | 18.28 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.010 | $0.16 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026?Yes | sell | 20.61 | $0.014 | $0.29 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 74.36 | $0.005 | $0.37 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 131.25 | $0.003 | $0.39 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.65 | $0.013 | $0.54 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.002 | $0.5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.010 | $0.37 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.050 | $0.77 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.66 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in March 2026?Yes | sell | 24.69 | $0.010 | $0.25 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in March 2026?Yes | sell | 38.75 | $0.013 | $0.5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 80.27 | $0.004 | $0.32 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in March 2026?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.010 | $0.34 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.