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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 453 | $0.940 | $425.82 | Aug 3, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 453 |
| $0.940 |
| $425.82 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 444.99 | $0.953 | $424.08 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.070 | $0.21 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes | sell | 999 | $0.090 | $89.91 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Yes | sell | 955 | $0.048 | $45.84 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 344 | $0.950 | $326.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?No | sell | 354 | $0.920 | $325.68 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?No | buy | 354 | $0.920 | $325.68 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | buy | 338 | $0.965 | $326.17 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 666 | $0.046 | $30.64 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No | sell | 292.84 | $0.954 | $279.37 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No | sell | 35.16 | $0.955 | $33.58 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No | buy | 328 | $0.952 | $312.26 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 343 | $0.910 | $312.13 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 343 | $0.910 | $312.13 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Aleksandar Pavlovic: 1+ goalsNo | buy | 333.78 | $0.930 | $310.42 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?No | buy | 336 | $0.934 | $313.82 | Jun 14, 2026 |