Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.025 | $1.85 | Feb 22, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 123.28 |
| $0.015 |
| $1.85 |
| Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.63 | $0.190 | $10.19 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 108.7 | $0.060 | $6.52 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 102.5 | $0.011 | $1.13 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 208.45 | $0.017 | $3.54 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.33 | $0.150 | $6.5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.5 | $0.012 | $1.23 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.023 | $2.4 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.006 | $2.5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.006 | $1.5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.14 | $0.070 | $3.3 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.070 | $4 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.019 | $2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 104.65 | $0.043 | $4.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.014 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iraq next?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.001 | $1.5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Yemen next?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.001 | $1.5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Syria next?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iraq next?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.001 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 5.51K | $0.001 | $5.51 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.460 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 148.89 | $0.440 | $65.51 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 9.01K | $0.001 | $9.01 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 3.34K | $0.003 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 686.49 | $0.006 | $4.2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out by February over 50% in January?Yes | sell | 265.46 | $0.016 | $4.25 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by February over 50% in January?Yes | buy | 265.46 | $0.026 | $7 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 306.06 | $0.010 | $2.97 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Nigeria next?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the US strike another country first?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Venezuela next?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Syria next?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Cuba next?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iraq next?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Yemen next?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iraq next?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.001 | $1.2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 148.89 | $0.450 | $67 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.011 | $3 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 739.43 | $0.014 | $10 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 183.62 | $0.440 | $80.79 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 961.6 | $0.052 | $50 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.71 | $0.410 | $21.2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 78.41 | $0.270 | $21.17 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.88 | $0.410 | $14.3 | Jan 29, 2026 |