Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.997 | $1.44 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.18 |
| $0.974 |
| $1.15 |
| Dec 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.995 | $1.63 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 583.62 | $0.005 | $2.95 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 57.18 | $0.078 | $4.46 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.949 | $5.13 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 85.47 | $0.165 | $14.09 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 762.65 | $0.170 | $129.65 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 122.71 | $0.995 | $122.1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 122.71 | $0.996 | $122.22 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 133.59 | $0.987 | $131.85 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 124.07 | $0.995 | $123.45 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 124.08 | $0.996 | $123.58 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 126.91 | $0.996 | $126.4 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 126.91 | $0.997 | $126.53 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 134.46 | $0.997 | $134.06 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be between $5.50-5.75 in May?No | buy | 10.3 | $0.999 | $10.29 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 134.47 | $0.998 | $134.2 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 127.83 | $0.995 | $127.19 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 127.84 | $0.994 | $127.07 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 128.51 | $0.997 | $128.12 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?No | buy | 10.28 | $0.999 | $10.27 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 128.52 | $0.998 | $128.26 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 136.5 | $0.997 | $136.09 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?No | buy | 11.51 | $0.999 | $11.5 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 136.5 | $0.998 | $136.23 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 124.22 | $0.999 | $124.1 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.999 | $1.21 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 124.22 | $0.999 | $124.1 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 146.55 | $0.998 | $146.26 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?No | buy | 2.61 | $0.998 | $2.6 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 146.56 | $0.999 | $146.41 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 98.69 | $0.999 | $98.59 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.998 | $3.15 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 121.75 | $0.998 | $121.51 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 121.75 | $0.999 | $121.63 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 73.92 | $0.990 | $73.18 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.998 | $3.1 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 73.93 | $0.995 | $73.56 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will another party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 6.42 | $0.999 | $6.41 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 99.18 | $0.997 | $98.88 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 99.19 | $0.998 | $98.99 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No | buy | 8.76 | $0.993 | $8.7 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 52.48 | $0.997 | $52.32 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?No | buy | 9.06 | $0.998 | $9.04 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will the PPC win 4 seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.998 | $10.24 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 52.47 | $0.998 | $52.37 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 62.83 | $0.998 | $62.7 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 62.83 | $0.999 | $62.77 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 56.84 | $0.997 | $56.67 | Apr 22, 2025 |