Latest trade
Jun 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:38 PM UTC.
lwelch is down $12.89 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:38 PM UTC.
$2.15 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 27 markets; 58.0% were buys. They run from Mar 2, 2025 UTC to Jun 15, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 16?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.997 | $3.04 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-16 21:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 22:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 22:38 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-16 21:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.33 and losing ones cost $14.22 across the latest 50 settled positions. 24% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.23 on “Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?” (Yes); the largest loss, $4.02 on “Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Jun 2026. It has traded 51 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 3.46 |
| $0.996 |
| $3.45 |
| Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.999 | $4.07 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on February 25?No | buy | 4.37 | $0.997 | $4.36 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on February 22?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.999 | $3.14 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 4.02K | $0.991 | $3.98K | Dec 24, 2025 UTC |
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 4.02K | $0.992 | $3.98K | Dec 24, 2025 UTC |
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.997 | $4.06 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
Will Lebron James retire before July?No | buy | 3.69 | $0.999 | $3.69 | Jun 27, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No | buy | 4.42 | $0.999 | $4.42 | Jun 27, 2025 UTC |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 4.47 | $0.372 | $1.66 | Jun 16, 2025 UTC |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 4.47 | $0.378 | $1.69 | Jun 16, 2025 UTC |
Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?No | sell | 2.3 | $0.673 | $1.55 | Jun 15, 2025 UTC |
Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.684 | $1.58 | Jun 15, 2025 UTC |
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 3.01 | $0.610 | $1.84 | May 20, 2025 UTC |
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.620 | $1.87 | May 20, 2025 UTC |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 2.47 | $0.455 | $1.12 | May 20, 2025 UTC |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 2.47 | $0.465 | $1.15 | May 20, 2025 UTC |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 3.58 | $0.380 | $1.36 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 3.59 | $0.390 | $1.4 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 8.04 | $0.440 | $3.54 | Mar 27, 2025 UTC |
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.04 | $0.460 | $3.7 | Mar 27, 2025 UTC |
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | sell | 5.44 | $0.527 | $2.87 | Mar 26, 2025 UTC |
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 5.44 | $0.531 | $2.89 | Mar 26, 2025 UTC |
Will 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?Yes | sell | 2.79 | $0.640 | $1.79 | Mar 21, 2025 UTC |
Will 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?Yes | buy | 2.79 | $0.680 | $1.9 | Mar 21, 2025 UTC |
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 1.36K | $0.996 | $1.36K | Mar 20, 2025 UTC |
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 1.36K | $0.997 | $1.36K | Mar 19, 2025 UTC |
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 5.4 | $0.680 | $3.67 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.710 | $3.84 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?Yes | sell | 4.21 | $0.310 | $1.31 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.330 | $1.39 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
Circle IPO in 2025?No | sell | 3.16 | $0.400 | $1.26 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
Circle IPO in 2025?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.430 | $1.36 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 3.75 | $0.310 | $1.16 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | sell | 5.95 | $0.640 | $3.81 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.320 | $1.2 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.650 | $3.87 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | sell | 4.7 | $0.601 | $2.82 | Mar 13, 2025 UTC |
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 4.7 | $0.625 | $2.94 | Mar 13, 2025 UTC |
US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?No | sell | 1.7 | $0.600 | $1.02 | Mar 12, 2025 UTC |
US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.620 | $1.06 | Mar 12, 2025 UTC |
Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | sell | 3.87 | $0.550 | $2.13 | Mar 12, 2025 UTC |
Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | buy | 3.88 | $0.560 | $2.17 | Mar 12, 2025 UTC |
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | sell | 6.09 | $0.607 | $3.7 | Mar 11, 2025 UTC |
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.637 | $3.88 | Mar 11, 2025 UTC |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.28 | $0.690 | $1.57 | Mar 3, 2025 UTC |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.29 | $0.700 | $1.6 | Mar 3, 2025 UTC |
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No | sell | 3.43 | $0.282 | $0.97 | Mar 2, 2025 UTC |
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No | buy | 3.43 | $0.364 | $1.25 | Mar 2, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.