Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 1.3K | $0.170 | $146.15 | -$74.92 |
 US recession by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 141.16 |
| $0.629 |
| $130.57 |
| +$41.76 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 846.09 | $0.291 | $63.46 | -$182.81 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.800 | $19.51 | +$3.51 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 259.99 | $0.041 | $14.69 | +$3.99 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 11.54 | $0.260 | $7.83 | +$4.83 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.380 | $0.85 | -$2.95 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 9.02 | $0.170 | $0.35 | -$1.18 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.210 | $0.15 | -$4.05 |
 Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 7.1 | $0.090 | $0.03 | -$0.61 |
 Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.210 | $0.02 | -$1.24 |
 Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 2.37 | $0.100 | $0.02 | -$0.22 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.189 |
| $1.89 |
| Jan 29, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.310 | $9.3 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.050 | $1.5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.070 | $1.12 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 30 | $0.290 | $8.7 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 34.63 | $0.024 | $0.83 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.021 | $1.47 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.380 | $18.24 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.849 | $84.9 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.380 | $22.8 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1?Yes | buy | 104.49 | $0.957 | $100 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.055 | $3.25 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.210 | $1.47 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.210 | $8.4 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 60 | $0.370 | $22.2 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.340 | $6.12 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.390 | $39 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.320 | $14.72 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 82.37 | $0.360 | $29.65 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 6.98 | $0.350 | $2.44 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.200 | $4.2 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 27?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.390 | $11.7 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.340 | $20.4 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.072 | $1.01 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.072 | $0.94 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Fed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?No | buy | 60 | $0.800 | $48 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 22.06 | $0.136 | $3 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.068 | $2 | Nov 25, 2025 |