Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 153.5 | $0.290 | $44.51 | Jul 27, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 106.45 |
| $0.510 |
| $54.29 |
| Jul 3, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 47.06 | $0.510 | $24 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 81.38 | $0.530 | $43.13 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 88.9 | $0.490 | $43.56 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 88.91 | $0.740 | $65.79 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 66.46 | $0.900 | $59.81 | May 9, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 78.68 | $0.760 | $59.8 | May 9, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | sell | 135.75 | $0.890 | $120.82 | May 9, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 135.75 | $0.890 | $120.82 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 88.83 | $0.470 | $41.75 | May 9, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | sell | 81.31 | $0.998 | $81.15 | May 9, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 80.01 | $0.840 | $67.21 | May 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 125.73 | $0.540 | $67.89 | May 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 125.73 | $0.490 | $61.61 | May 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 62.96 | $0.998 | $62.83 | May 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 62.96 | $0.790 | $49.74 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 88.84 | $0.560 | $49.75 | Apr 13, 2026 |