Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.933 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.07 |
| $0.933 |
| $1 |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Shakhove by November 30?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by November 30?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.929 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dobropillia by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy before October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Linea FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Linea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by August 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before September?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by August 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 New X CEO announced by August 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Rabby airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Syria by August 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen by August 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Amazon buy Lyft before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 DeepSeek V4 released before July?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |