Latest trade
Mar 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 7:40 AM UTC.
Analytics
Reflecting-Guava is down $31.85 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 3 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 7:40 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 16 trades covered 12 markets; 87.5% were buys. They run from Jan 25, 2026 UTC to Mar 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Fake News" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-25 11:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 07:40 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
16 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 07:40 UTC
polymarket positions
5 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-25 11:36 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $0.36 and losing ones cost $3.57 across 3 settled positions.
The largest win was $0.32 on “US government shutdown Saturday?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3.57 on “Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 Mar 2026. It has traded 12 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 2.94 |
| $0.340 |
| $1 |
| Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 4.37 | $0.229 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | sell | 1.92 | $0.550 | $1.06 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 24.98 | $0.040 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 9.05 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.180 | $6.43 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?Yes | buy | 284.58 | $0.018 | $5 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 130.15 | $0.015 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.