Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.998 | $1.2K | Jul 29, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 45.3K |
| $0.001 |
| $45.3 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 100K | $0.001 | $100 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 87.84K | $0.996 | $87.49K | May 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.05K | $0.998 | $3.04K | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 70.41K | $0.997 | $70.2K | Apr 29, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 221.57K | $0.998 | $221.13K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 373.22K | $0.998 | $372.47K | Mar 18, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 4.96K | $0.990 | $4.92K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 4.06K | $0.988 | $4.01K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 2.8K | $0.989 | $2.77K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 263.36K | $0.999 | $263.1K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.64K | $0.998 | $71.49K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 156.3K | $0.995 | $155.52K | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.61K | $0.999 | $25.58K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 117.01K | $0.990 | $115.84K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.38K | $0.989 | $22.13K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.987 | $148.05 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.95K | $0.987 | $9.82K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.52K | $0.987 | $27.16K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.987 | $49.35K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 150.89K | $0.986 | $148.78K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 39.3K | $0.988 | $38.83K | Jul 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 102.42K | $0.986 | $100.99K | Jul 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 366.89K | $0.984 | $361.13K | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 788.06K | $0.997 | $785.69K | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 1K | $0.990 | $990 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 18.66K | $0.991 | $18.49K | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 54.26K | $0.991 | $53.77K | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 10.79K | $0.990 | $10.68K | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 12.03K | $0.965 | $11.61K | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 4.17K | $0.967 | $4.03K | Jul 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 53.13K | $0.988 | $52.5K | Jun 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.24K | $0.987 | $51.56K | Jun 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 49.01K | $0.986 | $48.33K | Jun 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 47.77K | $0.985 | $47.05K | Jun 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.43K | $0.984 | $26K | Jun 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 305 | $0.977 | $297.99 | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 55.12K | $0.981 | $54.07K | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.32K | $0.980 | $44.41K | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 31.59K | $0.979 | $30.93K | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 830 | $0.980 | $813.4 | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.55K | $0.981 | $43.7K | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.12K | $0.980 | $4.04K | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.6K | $0.980 | $10.39K | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 37.3K | $0.980 | $36.55K | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.59K | $0.979 | $21.14K | May 7, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | buy | 491.68K | $0.997 | $490.21K | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 25.86K | $0.992 | $25.65K | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 22.91K | $0.991 | $22.7K | Jan 13, 2025 |