Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 65.87 | $0.250 | $27.99 | +$11.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 413.09 |
| $0.395 |
| $24.99 |
| -$138.01 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 25 | $0.800 | $23.38 | +$3.38 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 401.04 | $0.097 | $16.04 | -$22.96 |
| buy |
| 16.67 |
| $0.360 |
| $6 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETUp | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETDown | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETUp | buy | 10.14 | $0.690 | $7 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETUp | buy | 9.21 | $0.760 | $7 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown | sell | 15.06 | $0.980 | $14.76 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown | buy | 15.07 | $0.460 | $6.93 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10.3 | $0.288 | $2.97 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 41.26 | $0.243 | $10.03 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 401.04 | $0.097 | $39 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 413.09 | $0.395 | $163 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 399.98 | $0.910 | $363.98 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 339.02 | $0.824 | $279.35 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 60.97 | $0.813 | $49.57 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?Yes | sell | 37.27 | $0.460 | $17.14 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 50.63 | $0.790 | $40 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETDown | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETDown | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETDown | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETUp | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETUp | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown | sell | 28.96 | $0.700 | $20.27 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown | buy | 14.26 | $0.351 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?Yes | buy | 37.27 | $0.268 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?Yes | buy | 72.29 | $0.830 | $60 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 282.05 | $0.780 | $220 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | May 22, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 222.48 | $0.899 | $200 | May 22, 2026 |