Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.110 | $6.47 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 125 |
| $0.060 |
| $7.5 |
| Jul 18, 2026 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.070 | $7.78 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 78.94 | $0.280 | $22.1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.390 | $27.85 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | sell | 181.81 | $0.028 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 52.63 | $0.095 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.027 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 41.67 | $0.360 | $15 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.570 | $30 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 38.83 | $0.515 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | sell | 50.42 | $0.895 | $45.13 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?Up | sell | 53.57 | $0.772 | $41.38 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?Up | buy | 53.57 | $0.560 | $30 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 50.42 | $0.595 | $30 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.973 | $46.3 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.630 | $30 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.380 | $30 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 26?Up | sell | 125 | $0.003 | $0.38 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 26?Up | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 108.69 | $0.560 | $60.87 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 172.41 | $0.383 | $66.1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?Down | sell | 104.76 | $0.430 | $45.05 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?Down | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?Down | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 42.85 | $0.013 | $0.56 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.460 | $50 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.290 | $50 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 57.69 | $0.520 | $30 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Yes | sell | 71.59 | $0.008 | $0.58 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 230.76 | $0.590 | $136.15 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10?Up | sell | 232.55 | $0.130 | $30.31 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10?Up | buy | 232.56 | $0.430 | $100 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?Up | sell | 43.48 | $0.003 | $0.15 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?Up | buy | 43.48 | $0.069 | $3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?Down | sell | 87.07 | $0.750 | $65.3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?Down | buy | 43.48 | $0.690 | $30 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?Down | buy | 43.59 | $0.688 | $30 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?Up | sell | 66.66 | $0.360 | $24 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?Up | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?Down | sell | 198.19 | $0.700 | $138.81 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?Down | buy | 198.2 | $0.505 | $100 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 40.21 | $0.871 | $35.02 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | sell | 98.3 | $0.843 | $82.83 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.580 | $30 | Jun 7, 2026 |