Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?Down | sell | 400 | $0.210 | $84 | May 29, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.490 |
| $49 |
| May 28, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?Up | buy | 50 | $0.560 | $28 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.670 | $20.1 | May 26, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?Down | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | May 25, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?Down | buy | 13.68 | $0.190 | $2.6 | May 25, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?Down | buy | 99.99 | $0.340 | $34 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 119.09 | $0.157 | $18.64 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.425 | $42.54 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 19.1 | $0.550 | $10.51 | May 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.740 | $148 | May 7, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?Up | buy | 98.04 | $0.510 | $50 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.776 | $77.6 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.775 | $9.3 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.042 | $4.2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22?Down | buy | 54.47 | $0.240 | $13.07 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22?Down | buy | 93.92 | $0.240 | $22.54 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 21?Down | buy | 47.4 | $0.350 | $16.59 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.260 | $208 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?Down | buy | 47.64 | $0.410 | $19.53 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 900 | $0.660 | $594 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 1.43K | $0.812 | $1.16K | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 95.03 | $0.823 | $78.21 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 59.98 | $0.823 | $49.36 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 89.51 | $0.823 | $73.67 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 27 | $0.824 | $22.25 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 15?Up | sell | 65.63 | $0.520 | $34.13 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.06 | $0.480 | $5.31 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 15?Up | sell | 60 | $0.320 | $19.2 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.05 | $0.490 | $11.29 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 15?Up | buy | 48.2 | $0.550 | $26.51 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 4.26 | $0.860 | $3.66 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 14?Up | buy | 97.04 | $0.630 | $61.14 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 500.02 | $0.210 | $105 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.710 | $355 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.710 | $355 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 209.99 | $0.390 | $81.9 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.390 | $195 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.988 | $3 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.610 | $2.6 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 5.28 | $0.530 | $2.8 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.990 | $1.4 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.917 | $1.5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.900 | $2.4 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.997 | $1.3 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.993 | $2.2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.983 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | Apr 12, 2026 |