Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 3:36 PM UTC.
Analytics
Paul-Ymarket is down $46.43 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 14 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 3:36 PM UTC.
$3.55 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 34 markets; 70.0% were buys. They run from Mar 6, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 40.65 | $0.615 | $29.27 | +$4.27 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under | buy | 4.06 | $0.770 | $3.13 | 2d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 23:33 UTC
Polymarket public position response
12 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 15:36 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 15:36 UTC
polymarket positions
16 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-20 23:33 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.01 and losing ones cost $33.31 across 14 settled positions. 71.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.34 on “XRP Up or Down - October 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET” (Down); the largest loss, $12.99 on “Mavericks vs. Magic” (Mavericks).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 36 markets. Its open positions are worth $80.08 across 12 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 22.22 |
| $0.450 |
| $8.67 |
| -$1.33 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 25.64 | $0.390 | $8.59 | -$1.41 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 30.96 | $0.280 | $8.36 | -$0.31 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | Yes | 31.13 | $0.150 | $4.83 | +$0.16 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 105.67 | $0.038 | $4.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will David Jolly underperform Kamala in Florida? | Yes | 29.29 | $0.170 | $4.1 | -$0.88 |
 Will Angie Nixon underperform Kamala in Florida? | Yes | 21.65 | $0.230 | $3.9 | -$1.08 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 9.62 | $0.260 | $2.45 | -$0.05 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.06 | $0.310 | $2.26 | -$0.24 |
 France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.43 | $0.140 | $1.82 | -$1.18 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 8.93 | $0.280 | $1.56 | -$0.94 |
| buy |
| 14.41 |
| $0.346 |
| $4.99 |
| 3d ago |
 Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes | buy | 3.17 | $0.600 | $1.9 | 3d ago |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes | buy | 3.07 | $0.410 | $1.26 | 3d ago |
| Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers | buy | 9.46 | $0.700 | $6.62 | 3d ago |
| Ducks vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5 AND Spread: Utah (-1.5) AND Sharks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5 AND Avalanche vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5 | buy | 8.37 | $0.230 | $1.93 | 3d ago |
 XRP Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETDown | sell | 2.38 | $0.530 | $1.26 | 3d ago |
| XRP Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETDown | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 3d ago |
| XRP Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp | sell | 1.96 | $0.950 | $1.86 | 3d ago |
| XRP Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 3d ago |
| XRP Up or Down - October 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETUp | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 3d ago |
| XRP Up or Down - October 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown | sell | 3.84 | $0.640 | $2.46 | 3d ago |
| XRP Up or Down - October 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Mushuc Runa SC vs. Orense SC: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | 3d ago |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Orense SC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | 3d ago |
| Will David Jolly underperform Kamala in Florida?Yes | buy | 29.29 | $0.170 | $4.98 | 3d ago |
| Will Angie Nixon underperform Kamala in Florida?Yes | buy | 21.65 | $0.230 | $4.98 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.310 | $2.5 | 3d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.280 | $2.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.260 | $2.5 | 3d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 20?Yes | buy | 105.29 | $0.017 | $1.75 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 20?Yes | buy | 21.54 | $0.130 | $2.8 | 3d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | 3d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes | buy | 31.13 | $0.150 | $4.67 | 3d ago |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 40.65 | $0.615 | $25 | 3d ago |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | 3d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 30.96 | $0.280 | $8.67 | 3d ago |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 105.67 | $0.038 | $4 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | 3d ago |
 Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.001 | $2.2 | 3d ago |
 Mavericks vs. MagicMavericks | buy | 38.21 | $0.340 | $12.99 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over | sell | 0.14 | $0.700 | $0.1 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over | sell | 10.69 | $0.710 | $7.59 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Over | sell | 14.32 | $0.370 | $5.3 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over | buy | 10.84 | $0.680 | $7.37 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will CA Juventud vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.254 | $3.26 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-03-05?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.213 | $3.84 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-03-05?Yes | buy | 18.58 | $0.690 | $12.82 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Nets vs. HeatNets | sell | 14.12 | $0.120 | $1.69 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Nets vs. HeatNets | sell | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Nets vs. HeatNets | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Nets vs. HeatNets | sell | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Nets vs. HeatNets | buy | 67.45 | $0.110 | $7.42 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will CA Juventud vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Nets vs. HeatNets | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Nets vs. HeatNets | sell | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Nets vs. HeatNets | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Maple Leafs vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Over | sell | 0.23 | $0.300 | $0.07 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Maple Leafs vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Over | sell | 19 | $0.305 | $5.79 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Over | buy | 14.32 | $0.349 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.