Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 104.88 | $0.983 | $103.08 | Jul 31, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 103.2 |
| $0.985 |
| $101.65 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | buy | 101.66 | $0.920 | $93.53 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 93.52 | $0.950 | $88.84 | May 30, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 64 | $0.938 | $60.03 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 94.68 | $0.843 | $79.78 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 76.5 | $0.960 | $73.44 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 76.5 | $0.987 | $75.51 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 75.5 | $0.958 | $72.33 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 91.56 | $0.900 | $82.4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 82.32 | $0.919 | $75.65 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 76.42 | $0.991 | $75.73 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 76.42 | $0.990 | $75.66 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 59.04 | $0.964 | $56.91 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 16.62 | $0.963 | $16.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 3.74 | $0.917 | $3.43 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 12-18?No | buy | 56.53 | $0.999 | $56.47 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | sell | 58.22 | $0.970 | $56.47 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 68.88 | $0.927 | $63.85 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 63.85 | $0.993 | $63.4 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 63.4 | $0.993 | $62.96 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 70.5 | $0.893 | $62.96 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 70.5 | $0.950 | $66.98 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?No | buy | 64.97 | $0.997 | $64.78 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?Yes | buy | 28.52 | $0.980 | $27.95 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 69.99 | $0.907 | $63.48 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 60.57 | $0.837 | $50.7 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.800 | $56 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.730 | $54.75 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.730 | $54.75 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?No | buy | 106.7 | $0.998 | $106.49 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 109.33 | $0.974 | $106.49 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 109.33 | $0.987 | $107.91 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 542 | $0.910 | $493.22 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 542 | $0.920 | $498.64 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 126.85 | $0.900 | $114.16 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 126.86 | $0.880 | $111.64 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 114.29 | $0.965 | $110.29 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.001 | $1.1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.001 | $1.1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.001 | $1.05 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.962 | $101.01 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.001 | $9 | Dec 15, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 214.8 | $0.966 | $207.5 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 >50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will another game win Game of the Year?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris get 82-84m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris get less than 68m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |