Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OPEC dissolves in 2026? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $106.43 | +$6.43 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.441 | $73.43 | 6d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 161.46 |
| $0.929 |
| $150 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 218.81 | $0.979 | $214.21 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 77.01 | $0.909 | $70 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.660 | $110 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | May 17, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 218.82 | $0.914 | $200 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 116.55 | $0.481 | $56 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 116.55 | $0.858 | $100 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 20?No | buy | 97.64 | $0.819 | $80 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?Yes | buy | 386 | $0.259 | $100 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?Yes | sell | 277.77 | $0.949 | $263.58 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.760 | $5.06 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.600 | $4 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 67.42 | $0.890 | $60 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?Yes | buy | 61.86 | $0.970 | $60 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.900 | $250 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 45.38 | $0.930 | $42.2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on January 20?Down | buy | 104.55 | $0.717 | $75 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 45.05 | $0.910 | $41 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?No | buy | 20.14 | $0.993 | $20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 45.38 | $0.595 | $27 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?No | buy | 103.59 | $0.965 | $100 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 410.25 | $0.720 | $295.38 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 282.05 | $0.780 | $220 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?No | sell | 40 | $0.961 | $38.45 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | sell | 34.09 | $0.730 | $24.89 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 34.09 | $0.880 | $30 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?No | buy | 40 | $0.940 | $37.6 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No | buy | 75 | $0.950 | $71.25 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.350 | $5.25 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.360 | $11.16 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 160.32 | $0.624 | $100 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 159.98 | $0.625 | $100 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 3?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.992 | $10 | Oct 2, 2025 |