Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.981 | $1.23 | May 10, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.82 |
| $0.892 |
| $1.62 |
| May 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.918 | $4.7 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?No | buy | 6.42 | $0.997 | $6.4 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?No | buy | 9.5 | $0.998 | $9.48 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No | buy | 8.69 | $0.997 | $8.66 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 10.65 | $0.999 | $10.64 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 10.88 | $0.999 | $10.87 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.938 | $9.38 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | buy | 6 | $0.999 | $5.99 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.997 | $5.6 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 18?No | buy | 7.33 | $0.999 | $7.32 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 15?No | buy | 9.4 | $0.999 | $9.39 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 12.38 | $0.998 | $12.36 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 12.38 | $0.999 | $12.37 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.920 | $6.2 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.950 | $8 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?No | buy | 11.4 | $0.997 | $11.37 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?No | buy | 11.37 | $0.999 | $11.36 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.450 | $1.5 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 4–11?No | buy | 12.86 | $0.990 | $12.73 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times June 27–July 4?No | buy | 12.73 | $0.980 | $12.48 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?No | buy | 12.47 | $0.999 | $12.46 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.249 | $1.5 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.992 | $1.21 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.992 | $1.2 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Bryan Johnson’s average nighttime erection 2h 12m+ in Dec?Yes | buy | 0.07 | $0.700 | $0.05 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Fact check: Did Luigi Mangione use 3D printed gun?Yes | buy | 0.31 | $0.989 | $0.31 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?Yes | buy | 0.08 | $0.860 | $0.07 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Next Ethereum hard fork live by end of 2024?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.970 | $0.05 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?Yes | buy | 0.22 | $0.967 | $0.21 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 986 | $0.947 | $933.74 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 986 | $0.948 | $934.73 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 987.04 | $0.947 | $934.73 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 987.04 | $0.948 | $935.71 | Dec 5, 2024 |