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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 10K | $0.999 | $9.99K | -$4.99 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10K | $0.999 | $9.99K | 1d ago |
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| No |
| 10K |
| $0.996 |
| $9.96K |
| -$5 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 10K | $0.995 | $9.94K | -$14.99 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 10K | $0.992 | $9.93K | +$5 |
| buy |
| 10K |
| $0.996 |
| $9.96K |
| 1d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10K | $0.995 | $9.95K | 1d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.998 | $9.98K | Jul 28, 2026 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?No | buy | 5K | $0.957 | $4.78K | Jul 10, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | buy | 784.47 | $0.997 | $782.12 | Jul 10, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 7.02K | $0.989 | $6.94K | Jul 2, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.82K | $0.970 | $2.74K | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.970 | $4.85K | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 10K | $0.995 | $9.95K | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.61K | $0.989 | $8.51K | Jun 19, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.05K | $0.531 | $3.21K | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No | buy | 10K | $0.999 | $9.99K | Jun 18, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.33K | $0.964 | $6.1K | Jun 16, 2026 |
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 347.23 | $0.998 | $346.54 | Jun 16, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.988 | $296.4 | Jun 16, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.988 | $4.94K | Jun 16, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 292.93 | $0.960 | $281.21 | Jun 16, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 719.04 | $0.840 | $603.99 | Jun 16, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.994 | $2.39K | Jun 16, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.39K | $0.994 | $2.38K | Jun 16, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.978 | $44.99 | Jun 16, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 267.41 | $0.978 | $261.53 | Jun 16, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.96K | $0.978 | $2.89K | Jun 16, 2026 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.998 | $1.14K | Jun 16, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.941 | $1.31K | Jun 15, 2026 |
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 525 | $0.861 | $452.03 | Jun 15, 2026 |
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.950 | $1.25K | Jun 15, 2026 |
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 487.06 | $0.247 | $120.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.65K | $0.983 | $4.57K | Jun 15, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 10K | $0.995 | $9.95K | Jun 15, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No | buy | 7.8K | $0.993 | $7.75K | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 10K | $0.987 | $9.87K | Jun 15, 2026 |
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.95K | $0.940 | $2.77K | Jun 15, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes | buy | 6K | $0.970 | $5.82K | Jun 14, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes | buy | 3.96K | $0.970 | $3.84K | Jun 14, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | buy | 5K | $0.992 | $4.96K | Jun 13, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 10K | $0.996 | $9.96K | Jun 12, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 10K | $0.814 | $8.14K | Jun 12, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.959 | $9.59K | Jun 11, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.999 | $9.99K | Jun 8, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No | buy | 8.43K | $0.998 | $8.42K | Jun 2, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?No | buy | 2.57K | $0.958 | $2.46K | Jun 1, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?No | buy | 7.86K | $0.957 | $7.53K | Jun 1, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.993 | $1.25K | May 31, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.71K | $0.991 | $3.68K | May 31, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 5.33K | $0.989 | $5.27K | May 31, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | buy | 10K | $0.980 | $9.8K | May 31, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.997 | $4.07 | May 31, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.15K | $0.997 | $9.12K | May 31, 2026 |