Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 49.56 | $0.045 | $2.23 | Sep 16, 2025 |
|
micheal81 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,679,979 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$132.19 observed lifetime PnL, 64 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 62.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x93ee4ba1f83f7e530057455a3a6c9c7ad8b17c06
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 2.65 |
| $0.978 |
| $2.59 |
| Jul 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 208.38 | $0.480 | $100.02 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?No | buy | 94.6 | $0.968 | $91.57 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 94.04 | $0.998 | $93.85 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 88.24 | $0.999 | $88.15 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 88.24 | $0.998 | $88.06 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 87.26 | $0.995 | $86.82 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 87.27 | $0.996 | $86.92 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 78.27 | $0.997 | $78.04 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 78.28 | $0.998 | $78.12 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 88.88 | $0.994 | $88.35 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 475–499 times June 6–13?No | buy | 5.65 | $0.999 | $5.64 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 88.88 | $0.995 | $88.44 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 99.36 | $0.997 | $99.06 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 99.37 | $0.998 | $99.17 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 83.67 | $0.995 | $83.25 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 83.67 | $0.996 | $83.34 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 77.99 | $0.996 | $77.68 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $210 in May?No | buy | 8.52 | $0.999 | $8.51 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 77.99 | $0.997 | $77.76 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?No | buy | 4.38 | $0.999 | $4.38 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 23–30?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.993 | $9.03 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 96.04 | $0.995 | $95.56 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 96.04 | $0.996 | $95.66 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 95.75 | $0.993 | $95.08 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 95.75 | $0.994 | $95.18 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 3.84 | $0.993 | $3.81 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.998 | $7.49 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 80.74 | $0.997 | $80.5 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 81.57 | $0.993 | $81 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 4.75 | $0.995 | $4.73 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will another party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.998 | $2.52 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 81.58 | $0.994 | $81.09 | May 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 49.96 | $0.985 | $49.21 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No | buy | 2.93 | $0.997 | $2.92 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?Yes | sell | 54.55 | $0.620 | $33.82 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 57.4 | $0.996 | $57.17 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1500 on May 2?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.998 | $3.17 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 57.4 | $0.997 | $57.23 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 37.86 | $0.997 | $37.75 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 37.87 | $0.998 | $37.79 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 7.57 | $0.994 | $7.52 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 43.47 | $0.998 | $43.38 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will the Giants draft Will Campbell?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.998 | $2.14 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325–349 times April 18–25?No | buy | 4.81 | $0.999 | $4.81 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 43.47 | $0.998 | $43.38 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 46.94 | $0.997 | $46.8 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 46.94 | $0.998 | $46.85 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 43.02 | $0.998 | $42.93 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.