Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.700 | $1.12K | Mar 22, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 2.1K |
| $0.180 |
| $378 |
| Mar 22, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.016 | $30.4 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | sell | 10.56K | $0.010 | $105.85 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | sell | 4.88K | $0.014 | $70.38 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | sell | 4.24K | $0.010 | $42.72 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 4.32K | $0.037 | $160.23 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.010 | $16.4 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 5.23K | $0.009 | $49.6 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.130 | $175.43 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 569 | $0.299 | $169.86 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 568.44 | $0.296 | $168.16 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.300 | $60 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 469.64 | $0.296 | $139.18 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 168 | $0.300 | $50.4 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.300 | $66.6 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 692.3 | $0.300 | $207.69 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.299 | $313.1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 457.43 | $0.282 | $128.78 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 909.2 | $0.286 | $260.1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 183.53 | $0.800 | $146.82 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 202.37 | $0.791 | $159.99 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.16 | $0.789 | $112.1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.02 | $0.800 | $142.34 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 188.13 | $0.782 | $147.05 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 260.83 | $0.763 | $198.94 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.32K | $0.773 | $1.79K | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 34.43K | $0.002 | $68.87 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.868 | $1.76K | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.840 | $1.03K | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?Yes | buy | 117.48 | $0.798 | $93.74 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?Yes | buy | 691.28 | $0.792 | $547.24 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 17.02K | $0.009 | $153.15 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 7.38K | $0.009 | $66.31 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.009 | $180 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.007 | $21 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.075 | $37.51 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.075 | $88.19 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.119 | $0.48 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes | sell | 318.29 | $0.114 | $36.29 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes | sell | 632.96 | $0.114 | $72.45 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes | sell | 2.62K | $0.126 | $331.38 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.159 | $39.75 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.430 | $430 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.146 | $29.27 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 166.67 | $0.240 | $40 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 264.75 | $0.001 | $0.26 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 1.49K | $0.004 | $6.24 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 1.97K | $0.001 | $1.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 307.34 | $0.017 | $5.22 | Feb 23, 2026 |