Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.004 | $0.8 | Jun 25, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.005 |
| $1 |
| Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.003 | $0.75 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 204 | $0.004 | $0.82 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 204 | $0.005 | $1.02 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 210 | $0.004 | $0.84 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.005 | $1.05 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?Yes | sell | 202 | $0.004 | $0.81 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 202 | $0.005 | $1.01 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 204 | $0.004 | $0.82 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 204 | $0.005 | $1.02 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $61,000 on July 5?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.770 | $0.01 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 Will Austria win?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.510 | $0.02 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Idaho Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.33 | $0.060 | $0.02 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 0.29 | $0.070 | $0.02 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 Will HOBBES reach $1b first?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.007 | $0.01 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 Labour wins the most seats in next UK election?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.995 | $0.05 | Jul 2, 2024 |
| Will HOBBES reach $1b first?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.007 | $0.02 | Jul 2, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Idaho Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.17 | $0.060 | $0.01 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 $BTC dips below $55k before August?Yes | buy | 0.07 | $0.270 | $0.02 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 Rainbow airdrop by September 30?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.390 | $0.02 | Jul 2, 2024 |
| Will HOBBES reach $1b first?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.007 | $0.01 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+Yes | buy | 0.13 | $0.076 | $0.01 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.840 | $0.01 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.380 | $0.02 | Jul 2, 2024 |