Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 27 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 97 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 66% on 2 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 64.5% on 1 Jul 2024. $178.54K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 6:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 97 points, 27 Jun 2024 – 1 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2024 | 18.5% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Swift Sphinx C1AD | Yes | 3K |
| Violet Sphinx 846E | Yes | 2.22K |
| WhatsUpDoc | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rainbow launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between June 25 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Rainbow team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-by-september-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 154 |
| Shantaram | Yes | 149.99 |
| ER01MM | Yes | 142.86 |
| wellskelly | Yes | 140 |
| inlayfes | Yes | 123 |
| elizabethiva | Yes | 110 |
| vaughnjoseph | Yes | 110 |
