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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 150 | $0.625 | $135 | +$41.2 |
 Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETUp | buy | 26 | $0.510 | $13.26 | 7h ago |
|
| No |
| 143.93 |
| $0.731 |
| $128.81 |
| +$23.64 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | No | 99.99 | $0.691 | $91.49 | +$22.4 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31? | No | 98.81 | $0.540 | $81.02 | +$27.63 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 84.8 | $0.638 | $80.98 | +$26.85 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.145 | $80.75 | +$8.35 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? | No | 118.39 | $0.728 | $80.51 | -$5.68 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 93.98 | $0.742 | $77.53 | +$7.79 |
 Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic + OpenAI | 169.3 | $0.616 | $72.8 | -$31.42 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 69.99 | $0.729 | $66.49 | +$15.45 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 75 | $0.718 | $65.63 | +$11.78 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 80 | $0.848 | $64.4 | -$3.4 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 500 | $0.086 | $59.25 | +$15.95 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? | No | 76 | $0.723 | $55.1 | +$0.18 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 64.99 | $0.710 | $52.64 | +$6.5 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 69.99 | $0.711 | $50.39 | +$0.65 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 55.01 | $0.573 | $50.33 | +$18.83 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.790 | $46.75 | +$7.25 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 52 | $0.751 | $44.46 | +$5.42 |
 Spain snap election called in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.765 | $40 | +$1.75 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 45 | $0.812 | $39.38 | +$2.83 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 32 | $0.760 | $27.04 | +$2.72 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50 | $0.720 | $22.25 | -$13.75 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 40 | $0.530 | $20.8 | -$0.4 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.768 | $19.49 | +$0.29 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.350 |
| $1.75 |
| 7h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETUp | buy | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | 7h ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.720 | $10.79 | 19h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.610 | $9.15 | 21h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.680 | $10.2 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 13 | $0.500 | $6.5 | 2d ago |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.750 | $11.25 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown | buy | 14 | $0.500 | $7 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 28 | $0.530 | $14.84 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 14 | $0.530 | $7.42 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETDown | buy | 8 | $0.470 | $3.76 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 8 | $0.190 | $1.52 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 7 | $0.500 | $3.5 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETUp | buy | 14 | $0.500 | $7 | 5d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETUp | buy | 7 | $0.480 | $3.36 | 5d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETDown | sell | 14 | $0.800 | $11.2 | 6d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETDown | buy | 28 | $0.520 | $14.56 | 6d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETDown | buy | 14 | $0.510 | $7.14 | 6d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETDown | buy | 7 | $0.500 | $3.5 | 6d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETDown | sell | 7 | $0.999 | $6.99 | 6d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 7 | $0.510 | $3.57 | 6d ago |
 Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp | buy | 7 | $0.430 | $3.01 | 7d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp | buy | 14 | $0.500 | $7 | 7d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 14 | $0.500 | $7 | 7d ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETDown | buy | 7 | $0.263 | $1.84 | 7d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp | buy | 13.99 | $0.490 | $6.86 | 7d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 9d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | 9d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 9d ago |
 US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic | buy | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | 9d ago |
| US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | 9d ago |
| US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | 9d ago |
 XRP Up or Down - August 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.250 | $3.75 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETUp | buy | 16 | $0.550 | $8.8 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 28 | $0.510 | $14.28 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETDown | buy | 14 | $0.510 | $7.14 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 7 | $0.260 | $1.82 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp | buy | 14 | $0.510 | $7.14 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETUp | buy | 7 | $0.390 | $2.73 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETUp | sell | 28 | $0.540 | $15.12 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp | sell | 6 | $0.990 | $5.94 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETUp | buy | 28 | $0.510 | $14.28 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp | buy | 14 | $0.510 | $7.14 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETUp | buy | 7 | $0.317 | $2.22 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | buy | 14 | $0.510 | $7.14 | 16d ago |