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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.547 | $71.27 | -$528.72 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.547 | $600 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.92K |
| $0.102 |
| $400 |
| Jan 13, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10K | $0.110 | $1.1K | Oct 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.24 | $0.023 | $0.01 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.67K | $0.020 | $173.48 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.5K | $0.028 | $98 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.034 | $65.94 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 777.5 | $0.033 | $25.66 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.033 | $60.95 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.035 | $105 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.033 | $45.57 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.104 | $518.38 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 533 | $0.093 | $49.57 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 588.07 | $0.091 | $53.51 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.091 | $91.23 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 317.34 | $0.095 | $30.15 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 745 | $0.102 | $75.99 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.064 | $0.32 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.046 | $62.88 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.045 | $225 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 299.07 | $0.046 | $13.81 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.25K | $0.043 | $225.85 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 491.27 | $0.041 | $20.38 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 15.75K | $0.220 | $3.47K | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.090 | $225 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.160 | $171.84 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.35K | $0.180 | $423.68 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 251 | $0.220 | $55.22 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 58.41 | $0.220 | $12.85 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 937.5 | $0.320 | $300 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.22K | $0.098 | $1K | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 5.7K | $0.178 | $1.01K | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 319 | $0.177 | $56.46 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.6K | $0.045 | $117 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5K | $0.045 | $225 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.690 | $345 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.65K | $0.417 | $3.61K | May 23, 2025 |
 Will USA win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.500 | $300 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Was JFK assassination an inside job?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.045 | $22.5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.03K | $0.130 | $394.26 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 855.04 | $0.650 | $555.78 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 162 | $0.620 | $100.44 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?No | buy | 20K | $0.019 | $380 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.003 | $15 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.052 | $1.04 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?No | buy | 1K | $0.520 | $520 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.484 | $9.68 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 425.45 | $0.460 | $195.71 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.650 | $585 | Nov 15, 2024 |