Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 8 | $0.968 | $7.74 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 39 |
| $0.959 |
| $37.4 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.670 | $27.47 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.630 | $25.83 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 35 | $0.920 | $32.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.870 | $35.67 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.830 | $34.03 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 36 | $0.850 | $30.6 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 36 | $0.860 | $30.96 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.500 | $31.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.510 | $32.13 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | sell | 34 | $0.950 | $32.3 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.170 | $11.73 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.540 | $13.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.540 | $34.02 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.880 | $34.32 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.934 | $34.56 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.939 | $33.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.939 | $33.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 35 | $0.980 | $34.3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.980 | $34.3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.840 | $31.08 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 29 | $0.859 | $24.91 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.859 | $24.91 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.550 | $4.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.550 | $4.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 39 | $0.790 | $30.81 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 31 | $0.977 | $30.29 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 21 | $0.987 | $20.73 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.090 | $3.87 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.807 | $33.89 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.300 | $9.3 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 35 | $0.953 | $33.36 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 44 | $0.748 | $32.91 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.745 | $32.78 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.042 | $1.39 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.043 | $1.42 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 69 | $0.480 | $33.12 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.985 | $29.55 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.975 | $29.25 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 31.98 | $0.014 | $0.45 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.939 | $32.86 | May 31, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 31 | $0.945 | $29.29 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 8 | $0.440 | $3.52 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 8 | $0.440 | $3.52 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.985 | $29.55 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.810 | $29.16 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.080 | $7.6 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.906 | $30.8 | May 27, 2026 |