Latest trade
Oct 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 9:19 PM UTC.
Analytics
The2lied has made $8.25 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 10 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 9:19 PM UTC.
$15.95 median trade
Its latest 22 trades covered 18 markets; 81.8% were buys. They run from Aug 28, 2025 UTC to Oct 10, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 67.41 | $0.630 | $42.13 | -$0.34 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 67.41 | $0.630 | $42.47 | 14d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-03 00:17 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 21:19 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
22 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 21:19 UTC
polymarket positions
11 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-03 00:17 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $222.68 and losing ones cost $2.97 across 10 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $118.98 on “Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.34 on “Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Oct 2026. It has traded 18 markets. Its open positions are worth $42.13 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 43.13 |
| $0.440 |
| $19 |
| Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.57 | $0.625 | $12.23 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Yes | sell | 25.31 | $0.500 | $12.66 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 25.31 | $0.510 | $12.91 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.580 | $100 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Another Canada election called by June 30?No | sell | 56.08 | $0.997 | $55.91 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 46.77 | $0.227 | $10.62 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 48.14 | $0.650 | $31.29 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 46.78 | $0.270 | $12.63 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 12.65 | $0.999 | $12.64 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 116.04 | $0.270 | $31.33 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 34.75 | $0.111 | $3.87 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.880 | $40 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 49.25 | $0.406 | $20 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 12.65 | $0.791 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| Another Canada election called by June 30?No | buy | 56.09 | $0.713 | $40 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.33 | $0.638 | $20 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 153.87 | $0.227 | $34.89 | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.