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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 12.11 | $0.999 | $12.11 | +$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.11 | $0.999 | $12.1 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 3.01 |
| $0.900 |
| $2.89 |
| +$0.18 |
| buy |
| 3.01 |
| $0.900 |
| $2.71 |
| 3d ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.74 | $0.997 | $14.7 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No | buy | 153.31 | $0.998 | $153 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 153.15 | $0.999 | $153 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 154.15 | $0.999 | $154 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?Yes | buy | 83.08 | $0.999 | $83 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 23?Yes | buy | 370.75 | $0.003 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 24?No | buy | 70.07 | $0.999 | $70 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?No | buy | 152.15 | $0.999 | $152 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?Yes | buy | 61.06 | $0.999 | $61 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?Yes | buy | 92.09 | $0.999 | $92 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27?Yes | buy | 155.13 | $0.999 | $154.98 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 156.74 | $0.991 | $155.3 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 15?No | buy | 155.43 | $0.999 | $155.28 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.12 | $0.040 | $1.08 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.160 | $0.92 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 155.28 | $0.998 | $154.97 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $60 March 30-April 5?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.964 | $0.99 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.02 | $0.260 | $1.05 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | buy | 155.14 | $0.999 | $154.98 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 158.16 | $0.999 | $158 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 55.11 | $0.998 | $55 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.972 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 155.16 | $0.999 | $155 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10?No | buy | 154.88 | $0.998 | $154.57 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | sell | 154.72 | $0.999 | $154.57 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | buy | 154.72 | $0.999 | $154.57 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 1?No | buy | 154.56 | $0.999 | $154.41 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 30?No | buy | 154.41 | $0.999 | $154.26 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 25?No | buy | 154.26 | $0.999 | $154.11 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 21?No | buy | 154.1 | $0.999 | $153.95 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 13?Yes | buy | 153.95 | $0.999 | $153.8 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 6?Yes | buy | 152.15 | $0.999 | $152 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 24?No | buy | 141.19 | $0.999 | $141.05 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 15?No | buy | 140.14 | $0.999 | $140 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 9?Yes | buy | 135.41 | $0.997 | $135 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 5?No | buy | 130.13 | $0.999 | $130 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 2?Yes | buy | 125.13 | $0.999 | $125 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 2?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.827 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.988 | $1.28 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.977 | $1.12 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.960 | $1.68 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.989 | $1.47 | Dec 2, 2025 |