Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Syria hold national elections by January 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 25, 2025 |
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LilManBigGuy is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,876,374 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$393.69 observed lifetime PnL, 64 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 50.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x8d50d54c6233ae1b6e22bb6eab72a5f360b3beec
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 4.63 |
| $0.600 |
| $2.78 |
| Jan 23, 2025 |
 Pistons vs. HawksHawks | buy | 106.44 | $0.620 | $65.99 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Israel" during Fox News Oval Office interview?No | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will the match between Feyenoord Rotterdam and Bayern Munich end in a draw?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Manchester City beat Paris Saint-Germain?No | buy | 57.14 | $0.790 | $45.14 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Manchester City?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will the match between Feyenoord Rotterdam and Bayern Munich end in a draw?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Bayern Munich beat Feyenoord?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will RB Leipzig beat Sporting CP?Yes | buy | 63.71 | $0.860 | $54.79 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No | sell | 9.02 | $0.260 | $2.35 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.023 | $1.01 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No | buy | 18.06 | $0.277 | $5 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Two Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?Yes | buy | 83.79 | $0.010 | $0.84 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Helen McEntee be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 500.2 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.200 | $0.91 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | buy | 36.76 | $0.010 | $0.37 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | buy | 42.92 | $0.023 | $1 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Panthers vs. DucksPanthers | sell | 67.62 | $0.992 | $67.08 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Panthers vs. DucksPanthers | buy | 67.62 | $0.710 | $48.01 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Red Wings vs. FlyersFlyers | buy | 61.56 | $0.610 | $37.55 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Timberwolves vs. GrizzliesTimberwolves | buy | 7.39 | $0.713 | $5.27 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Pistons vs. RocketsPistons | buy | 10.13 | $0.470 | $4.76 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue 35-39 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | sell | 68.78 | $0.070 | $4.81 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Mavericks vs. HornetsMavericks | buy | 16.92 | $0.120 | $2.03 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 30-34 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | sell | 39.03 | $0.052 | $2.03 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Mavericks vs. HornetsMavericks | buy | 71.97 | $0.320 | $23.03 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Mavericks vs. HornetsMavericks | sell | 76.56 | $0.300 | $22.97 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 35-39 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 68.78 | $0.053 | $3.65 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Mavericks vs. HornetsMavericks | buy | 76.56 | $0.640 | $49 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 30-34 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | sell | 39.03 | $0.077 | $3.01 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?No | sell | 63.75 | $0.780 | $49.71 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | sell | 37.46 | $0.055 | $2.06 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 20-24 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | sell | 96.89 | $0.051 | $4.94 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 30-34 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 60.05 | $0.027 | $1.63 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 37.46 | $0.068 | $2.54 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.070 | $1.61 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?No | buy | 63.75 | $0.800 | $51 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 20-24 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 76.89 | $0.065 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Mavericks vs. HornetsMavericks | sell | 86.26 | $0.660 | $56.93 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Mavericks vs. HornetsMavericks | buy | 86.26 | $0.680 | $58.66 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 20-24 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.065 | $1.3 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.070 | $1.61 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 131 | $0.440 | $57.64 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Red Wings vs. StarsStars | sell | 58.82 | $0.980 | $57.64 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Red Wings vs. StarsStars | buy | 58.82 | $0.680 | $40 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Rams vs. EaglesRams | buy | 7.7 | $0.200 | $1.54 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Rams vs. EaglesEagles | sell | 50.65 | $0.820 | $41.53 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Rams vs. EaglesEagles | buy | 50.65 | $0.770 | $39 | Jan 19, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.