Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 42% on 20 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 67 daily closes on record from 20 Nov 2024 to 25 Jan 2025, the highest close was 42% on 20 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 6.5% on 21 Nov 2024. $107.69K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 6:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 67 points, 20 Nov 2024 – 25 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2024 | 42.0% |
| 25 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 27.31K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 1.42K |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 68.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if exactly 2 Trump Cabinet nominations are confirmed by the U.S. Senate by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-trump-cabinet-confirmations-in-january
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 3.57 |
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| borisy | Yes | 0.33 |
| JCFGXCV | Yes | 0.09 |
