Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87.3%. Yes opened at 8% on 9 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2025 to 21 Jan 2025, the highest close was 12.7% on 21 Jan 2025 and the lowest 2.9% on 20 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.8 points up, to 12.7% on 21 Jan 2025. $284.15K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 9:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 9 Jan 2025 – 21 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2025 | 8.0% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 12.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 113.35K |
| avventus | Yes | 8.7K |
| jdean1 | Yes | 4.45K |
| heuer | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 20 (inclusive) and 24 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-executive-orders-will-trump-issue-on-day-1
| Randomguy64 | Yes | 100 |
| MinceirMan | Yes | 18.18 |
| psa | Yes | 0.47 |
| SaylorMoon | Yes | 0.01 |
| megagrim | No | 0.01 |
| smoltrader | No | 0.01 |
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