Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 7.66 | $0.920 | $7.05 | Apr 4, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 22.07 |
| $0.198 |
| $4.37 |
| Apr 4, 2026 |
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.89 | $0.730 | $1.38 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.242 | $1.34 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No | sell | 2.89 | $0.240 | $0.69 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.176 | $0.57 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.017 | $0.51 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.850 | $3.86 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No | sell | 5 | $0.922 | $4.61 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.366 | $7.33 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.39 | $0.830 | $1.98 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 8.07 | $0.480 | $3.88 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.23 | $0.800 | $0.99 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 3.73 | $0.520 | $1.94 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.860 | $4 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.938 | $1.04 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 21.05 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.513 | $10.8 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 11?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 11?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 12?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.86 | $0.520 | $0.97 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETDown | buy | 4.7 | $0.210 | $0.99 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.899 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No | buy | 2.89 | $0.346 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 31?Down | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.447 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 11.04 | $0.996 | $11 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.941 | $3 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.992 | $3 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.29 | $0.830 | $1.9 | Dec 16, 2025 |
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 16-22?No | buy | 7.8 | $0.500 | $3.9 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.98 | $0.840 | $2.5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 4.32 | $0.973 | $4.2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.81 | $0.210 | $2.9 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast EditionYes | sell | 2.37 | $0.934 | $2.21 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Fed abolished in 2025?No | sell | 5.07 | $0.995 | $5.04 | Dec 14, 2025 |