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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?Yes | sell | 125.02 | $0.994 | $124.24 | Sep 29, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 19.26 |
| $0.998 |
| $19.22 |
| Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit China by October 31?No | sell | 2.84 | $0.956 | $2.72 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Russia announces air truce by September 30?No | sell | 5.35 | $0.988 | $5.29 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Mahmoud Abbas attend the UN General Assembly?No | sell | 44.57 | $0.996 | $44.39 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in September?No | sell | 225.79 | $0.979 | $221.15 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Democracy" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?No | buy | 472.36 | $0.518 | $244.83 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in September?No | buy | 31.06 | $0.977 | $30.35 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | sell | 239.93 | $0.420 | $100.7 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?Yes | buy | 144.28 | $0.978 | $141.11 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?No | buy | 20 | $0.989 | $19.78 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Yes | buy | 27.42 | $0.984 | $26.98 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 771.38 | $0.991 | $764.68 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas attend the UN General Assembly?No | buy | 44.57 | $0.988 | $44.01 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.860 | $10.32 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.999 | $8.99 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in September?No | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?Yes | buy | 120.38 | $0.994 | $119.66 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 288.86 | $0.060 | $17.33 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?Yes | buy | 50.29 | $0.994 | $50 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?Yes | sell | 57.5 | $0.998 | $57.39 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.964 | $48.22 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | sell | 119.5 | $0.790 | $94.41 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.780 | $36.66 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | sell | 504 | $0.775 | $390.74 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Yes | buy | 43.79 | $0.868 | $38 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 888 | $0.974 | $864.91 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.82 | $0.910 | $30.78 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 388 | $0.930 | $360.84 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | sell | 13 | $0.941 | $12.23 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 188 | $0.980 | $184.24 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 888 | $0.980 | $870.24 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 No change in Bank of England's interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.63K | $0.979 | $1.6K | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.720 | $10.08 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.730 | $10.22 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.737 | $36.86 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 520.02 | $0.726 | $377.56 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| No change in Bank of England's interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.981 | $98.1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| No change in Bank of England's interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.981 | $1.5K | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 19?Yes | sell | 2.01K | $0.997 | $2K | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.741 | $37.77 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by September 19?Yes | buy | 800.8 | $0.999 | $800 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.460 | $138 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | sell | 539.93 | $0.470 | $253.77 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 246.46 | $0.811 | $200 | Sep 16, 2025 |