Latest trade
Mar 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 1:52 PM UTC.
Analytics
Difficult-Conflict is down $8.75 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 1:52 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 36 markets; 80.0% were buys. They run from Jan 23, 2026 UTC to Mar 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 8 | $0.999 | $7.99 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-16 06:41 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 13:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 13:52 UTC
polymarket positions
13 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-16 06:41 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $44.37 and losing ones cost $7.64 across 11 settled positions. 45.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $33.89 on “Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.91 on “Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Mar 2026. It has traded 37 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 11.11 |
| $0.090 |
| $1 |
| Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 15m?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m?Yes | sell | 3.17 | $0.993 | $3.15 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?Yes | sell | 7.09 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12.5m?Yes | sell | 130.88 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 15m?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12.5m?Yes | buy | 126.12 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12.5m?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.962 | $4.18 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | sell | 13.04 | $0.007 | $0.09 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | sell | 9.93 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?Yes | sell | 93.56 | $0.007 | $0.65 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?No | sell | 65.52 | $0.007 | $0.46 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?Yes | buy | 7.09 | $0.141 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.4 | $0.290 | $2.15 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Man's Best Friend (Sabrina Carpenter) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 9.93 | $0.101 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.072 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Iowa speech?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.248 | $2.48 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.098 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?No | buy | 65.52 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?Yes | buy | 93.56 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will SWAG (Justin Bieber) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.249 | $3 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | buy | 4.46 | $0.448 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.