Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 8 | $0.999 | $7.99 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 11.11 |
| $0.090 |
| $1 |
| Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 15m?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m?Yes | sell | 3.17 | $0.993 | $3.15 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?Yes | sell | 7.09 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12.5m?Yes | sell | 130.88 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 15m?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12.5m?Yes | buy | 126.12 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12.5m?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.962 | $4.18 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | sell | 13.04 | $0.007 | $0.09 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | sell | 9.93 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?Yes | sell | 93.56 | $0.007 | $0.65 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?No | sell | 65.52 | $0.007 | $0.46 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?Yes | buy | 7.09 | $0.141 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.4 | $0.290 | $2.15 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Man's Best Friend (Sabrina Carpenter) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 9.93 | $0.101 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.072 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Iowa speech?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.248 | $2.48 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.098 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?No | buy | 65.52 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?Yes | buy | 93.56 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will SWAG (Justin Bieber) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.249 | $3 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | buy | 4.46 | $0.448 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |